OUR FORECAST

This past Wednesday and Thursday evenings we had the pleasure of hosting our annual Market Forecast events in Denver and Fort Collins.

Thank you to the 700 people who attended both events. We appreciate your support!

In case you missed the events, here are some highlights including our forecast for price appreciation in 2019:
• In 2018 Prices went up:
o 8% in Fort Collins
o 8% in Loveland
o 8.5% in Greeley
o 8% in Metro Denver

 Inventory is (finally) showing signs of increasing:
o Up 25% in Northern Colorado
o Up 45% in Metro Denver

• There are distinct differences in months of inventory across different price ranges = opportunity for the move up buyer.

• There are several reasons why we don’t see a housing bubble forming:
o New home starts along the Front Range are roughly 60% of pre-bubble highs 14 years ago.
o Americans have more equity in their homes than ever, $6 Trillion!
o The average FICO score of home buyers is significantly higher than the long-term average.
o The home ownership rate is back to the long-term average.

• Our 2019 Price Appreciation Forecast:
o 6% in Fort Collins
o 6% in Loveland
o 7% in Greeley
o 6% in Metro Denver

If you would like a copy of the presentation, go ahead and reach out to me.  I would be happy to put it in your hands!

Posted on January 21, 2019 at 7:16 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

A History Lesson

One of the most common questions we hear from clients is “Where do you think interest rates are going?”

Virtually all of the experts we follow put rates above 5% going into next year and some see rates approaching 5.5% by the middle of 2019. What’s certain is that there are economic forces at work that are pushing rates higher.

So, how about a little history lesson? How do today’s 30- year mortgage rates compare to this same date in history going all the way back to 1990?

• Today = 4.85%
• 2017 = 3.94%
• 2015 = 3.82%
• 2010 = 4.27%
• 2005 = 5.98%
• 2000 = 7.84%
• 1995 = 7.75%
• 1990 = 10.22%

While today’s rates feel high only because they are higher than 2017, they are quite a bit lower than at many times in history.

Posted on October 21, 2018 at 5:59 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Cost of Waiting

It’s true, certain parts of our market are cooling off. We are seeing fewer multiple offers, fewer bidding wars, and fewer inspection concessions.
However, homes that are priced right and in great condition are selling, and in many cases, selling quickly.

As buyers feel the market cool a bit, it may cause them to want to wait. They sometimes feel like it’s a better choice to ‘wait and see what happens.’

The reality is, there is a real cost to waiting given two specific facts.

1. Interest rates will continue to rise
2. Prices will continue to rise

Interest rates are a little more than 0.5% higher than a year ago and experts predict them to be another 0.5% higher by this time next year.

Prices have been appreciating at roughly 10% per year for the last four years. Based on the numbers, we see that appreciation could be 5% per year for the next two years.

So, let’s look at a house priced at $450,000 today. If prices go up “only” 5% for the next 12 months, that home will cost $22,500 more in a year.

And, if rates go up another half percent, the monthly payment will be $206 higher. That’s an 11% increase!

In an environment of rising prices and rising rates, there is a real cost to “wait and see.”

Posted on September 7, 2018 at 9:05 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts, Northern Colorado Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , ,

April Showers

The April results are in for Larimer and Weld County…

Larimer County had 547 residential sales for the month, 11% fewer than a year ago. Weld County was up 13% compared to last year with 493 sales.

Why is Larimer down and Weld up? It’s mostly driven by affordability – there tend to be more homes to choose from under $350,000 in Weld County.

How about prices? Average prices went up 10% in Larimer County and 9% in Weld County compared to April 2017.

Larimer County’s average price is $419,918 and Weld’s is $359,402.

To see an update as to what is happening in the Northern Colorado market, contact me to receive our quarterly “Scoop” report.

Posted on May 7, 2018 at 8:20 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Under $300,000

If a real estate buyer walks into one of our offices in Northern Colorado and tells us they are looking for a single-family home under $300,000, unfortunately there will not be many properties to choose from. Depending on where they are looking the choices may be very limited.

Here is a list of the number of single-family homes currently for sale (excluding manufactured homes) in Northern Colorado:

  • Fort Collins = 0
  • Loveland = 7
  • Windsor = 0
  • Wellington = 0
  • Timnath = 0
  • Greeley = 27
  • Evans = 8
  • Milliken = 2

If our active market has you thinking about investing in real estate in Northern Colorado. Check this out…

Grab a copy of our Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email me at rdupont@windermere.com and I will send you a video which clarifies the process and our Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Posted on April 27, 2018 at 5:11 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

Short vs Long

There are short-term questions about real estate and there are long term questions about real estate.

Clients often have short-term questions like…

How much will prices go up next year? Should I sell my house this Fall or next Spring? Will interest rates go up next week?

We encourage our clients to evaluate those questions in the context of the long-term. There are decades of data on the Northern Colorado market which reveal certain patterns.

When we show our clients these patterns they feel confident and secure in the investment they have made into their home and their rental properties.

For example, the long-term appreciation rates based on up to 41 years of research are as follows:

  • Larimer County = 5.36%
  • Weld County = 4.25%
  • Metro Denver = 5.56%

So over the course of a year prices may go up a lot or go up a little, but in the long term they will stay true to these long term averages.

To see an update as to what is happening in the Northern Colorado market, contact me to receive our quarterly “Scoop” report.

Posted on October 27, 2017 at 4:32 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Inventory is UP!

For the past few years the hot topic in Northern Colorado real estate is inventory, or more specifically, lack of inventory.

Based on our current research, it looks like this trend is reversing.

Let’s look at the increase in inventory in our major markets versus a year ago…

  • Fort Collins up 28%
  • Loveland up 4%
  • Windsor up 37%
  • Greeley up 5%

This increase in is very good news for prospective buyers as now there are more homes to choose from.

To see an update as to what is happening in the Northern Colorado market, contact me to receive our quarterly “Scoop” report.

Posted on October 22, 2017 at 4:50 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Greeley’s Major Milestone

The Greeley market is about to hit a major milestone.

We project that in the first quarter of 2018, the average price for a single family home in Greeley will surpass $300,000.

Today the average price sits at $289,870.

Just a year ago it was $262,828.

Guess when Greeley broke the $200,000 barrier? It was only about 3 years ago in June 2014.

So what ‘s going on?

Double-digit price appreciation is being fueled by a healthy Northern Colorado economy, low interest rates and local affordability. Greeley prices can look really attractive compared to Fort Collins.

We don’t see anything on the horizon that will significantly change the trajectory of the Greeley market. It is a fundamentally a very strong place to own real estate.

For a detailed look at what ‘s happening across Colorado, request our quarterly market report called “The Gardner Report“, written by Windermere Real Estate’s Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner.

Posted on September 15, 2017 at 7:38 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Fall vs Spring

A question we start to hear from clients this time of year is “am I better off waiting until the Spring to sell my home?”

The perception is that Spring is the busy time for home sales and that a Seller would be better served waiting to sell their home.

The reality is the numbers show that your odds of selling your home in the fall (and even the Winter) are just as good as the Spring. The reason is that the competition from other sellers is much lower in the Fall and Winter.

Let’s see what the numbers say…

We did an analysis of the number of homes that sold last year in each month versus the homes for sale that month and then looked at the ratio. For example, if 500 homes were for sale and 250 of them sold, the ratio would be 50%.

Here are the ratios for certain months in our 3 major Northern Colorado markets:

Fort Collins

  • March = 38%
  • October = 38%
  • December = 55%

Loveland

  • March = 39%
  • October = 43%
  • December = 46%

Greeley

  • March = 48%
  • October = 49%
  • December = 82%

So the numbers tell us that there is no advantage of waiting until the Spring.

Also, all of our clients who are listing their home now see the advantage of dealing with the “known” versus the “unknown” when it comes to interest rates, demand levels and other market factors.

If you would like to see the odds of selling in your particular neighborhood and your particular price range, contact me today.

Posted on September 8, 2017 at 3:51 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor, Fun Facts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Should You Wait or Buy Now?

The housing market is remarkably tight across the U.S., and you may be wondering if you should wait for home prices to slow before making your move. Windermere’s Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, shares why waiting could end up costing you more money in the long run.

Should You Wait out the Housing Market?

The housing market is remarkably tight across the U.S., and you may be wondering if you should wait for home prices to slow before making your move. Windermere's Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, shares why waiting could end up costing you more money in the long run.

Posted by Windermere Real Estate on Friday, August 18, 2017

Posted on August 24, 2017 at 5:54 pm
Rondi duPont | Category: Blog, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fort Collins Realtor | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,