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A leading indicator of the health of any real estate market is Mortgage Delinquencies.
Specifically, the percentage of mortgages which are at least 30 days delinquent can foretell the amount of distressed properties that may hit the market in the future.
The most recent research shows that only 4.11% of all loans are delinquent.
This number has dropped for seven quarters in a row and is now at its lowest level since the fourth quarter of 2019 (which was the lowest ever in 20 years).
It is worth noting that the delinquency rate in the years leading up to the housing bubble hovered between 5.5% to 6.0%.
Based on this data, the likelihood of a foreclosure surge or a glut of distressed properties hitting the market is minimal.
