BlogFun Facts January 19, 2024

More Normal Range

The length of time that it takes for a property to sell is settling into a more normal range.

“Days on Market” is an insightful statistic that counts how long it takes for a property to go from live on the market to sold.

Today measurement stands at 72 days in Larimer County and 74 days in Weld County.

From January 2021 to November 2022, Days on Market never went above 60. This time period was defined by incredibly high demand and drastically low supply.

The time frame of January 2018 to December 2020, which was more ‘normal,’ had Days on Market between 60 and 90 days.

BlogFun Facts January 12, 2024

Out of the Gates

How is the year starting? All of us in the real estate industry are especially curious to see how 2024 is starting off after the first slow real estate year in a long time.

Rates have settled down and are trending down.

Prices have shown resilience and continue to go up.

But, how about transactions? Are they picking up after a year that saw an 18% decline in the number of closed residential properties?

It turns out the year is starting off strong but not unusually strong.

Pending transactions are up in Larimer County 7% year over year and up 3% in Weld County.

So, we are already seeing signs that 2024 will be a year of growth compared to last year.

BlogFor Buyers & SellersFun Facts December 15, 2023

Price Plummet

For anyone waiting for home prices to drop before making a buying decision, there is good news.

The recent plummet in mortgage rates means that home prices, effectively, just took a big dip.

Rates have gone down by 1% in the last 45 days which means that a prospective home buyer’s payment is 10% less today than what it would have been at the end of October.

For example, the Principal and Interest payment for a $500,000 loan is $341 less today than what it was 45 days ago.

So, from a buyer’s perspective, prices have gone down by 10% in a very short time.

BlogFun Facts December 8, 2023

Inventory in Perspective

A significant dynamic in the Front Range market is the relatively low inventory. This is the main reason why prices are stable despite higher rates.

Here is some perspective on the inventory of homes for sale to help give some context.

Today’s inventory is:

  • Half of the long-term average going back 30 years
  • ¼ of the all-time high in 2006
  • 3 times the all-time low of 2021
BlogFun Facts December 1, 2023

Most Surprising News

The most surprising piece of news for our friends and clients is that prices are essentially flat compared to last year.  People find that surprising given what interest rates have done over the last 18 months.  They wonder, how could prices not fall significantly after interest rates jumped considerably?

The answer is the fundamental economic lesson of supply and demand.

There is enough demand in the market for the current supply to keep prices stable even in an environment of higher rates.

Now that rates are (finally) trending down, it gives us even more confidence about the continued growth of real estate prices along the Front Range.

Here is a look at how home prices compare to one year ago:

Larimer County = Down 0.8%

Weld County = Up 3.4%

Metro Denver = Up 0.8%

Uncategorized November 17, 2023

Highly Active

In addition to tracking the average price for sold properties, it is also interesting to track the average price for active properties.

Asking prices are up across all markets when compared to the same time last year.

Here are the average list prices for residential properties along the Front Range:

  • Larimer County = $893,000 (8% higher than last year)
  • Weld County = $702,000 (6% higher than last year)
  • Metro Denver = $847,000 (5% higher than last year)

These asking prices are higher than average sales prices by approximately 30%. This is because there are many high-end properties on the market which take longer to sell and which pull up the average.

BlogFun Facts November 10, 2023

A Rate-Induced Pop

The recent drop in mortgage rates triggered a measurable uptick in sales activity.

So far through the first 10 days of November, pending activity in Northern Colorado is up versus the same 10 days last year.

This is despite interest rates being higher than they were last year.

Mortgage rates just had their biggest one-week drop in over a year and buyers clearly responded.

Pending sales through November so far are up versus last year:

48% in Larimer County

20% in Weld County

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BlogFun Facts October 23, 2023

Net Worth Surge

Net worth surged for American families during the pandemic era, largely because of increased home values based on the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances.

Net worth is a measure of household assets after accounting for liabilities. After accounting for inflation, median net worth jumped to $192,900, a 37% increase from 2019-22, the Fed found.

That percentage growth was the largest since the Fed started its modern survey in 1989. It was also more than double the next-largest increase on record. Between 2004 and 2007 real median net worth rose 18%.

BlogFor SellersFun Facts October 6, 2023

Increasing Reductions

More and more sellers are having to reduce their listing price.

Nationally, 37% of all home sellers have recently had a listing price reduction. This is according to a recent report from Altos Research.

This is up from 30% in May and is now at the second-highest level since 2018. The highest it has been in the last five years is November 2022 when it stood at 41%.

A “normal” range is between 25% and 30%. Today’s number is a result of softening demand based on higher interest rates.

Proper pricing is always important for a seller and is especially so now as we enter a typically slower time of the year with added challenges related to interest rates.