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Blog New Rankings The latest Home Price Index report has just been released by the Federal Housing Finance Authority. They track home price appreciation for the largest metropolitan areas in the U.S. plus state by state appreciation. Here is the ranking of the top three states for price growth over the last twelve months: 1.  Florida = 29% […]
Blog Like 1993 Here’s a trivia question… The number of new, single-family homes completed in 2022 will most closely resemble which prior year? If you guessed 1993, you are correct. Yes, the number of homes built and completed this year is no more than the number from 30 years ago. In 2022, there will be just over 1 […]
Blog Under 100 For the first time in a long time, the sale to list price ratio is below 100%. This statistic measures the final sales price versus the listing price. During the super-active market of the last 24 months, this number averaged over 100%. This was a result of multiple offers and bidding wars which caused buyers […]
Blog What Gives?   “I thought the market was cooling off, so why are prices still going up?” This is a frequent question we hear from our clients. They are understandably confused by the fact that average prices have continued to rise at a rapid pace even though sales activity is slower than what it was 6 months […]
Blog Asking Price Drop Data just released by Altos Research shows that 35% of all homes on the market have had to reduce their asking price. This is the highest this number has been since December of 2019. This is also an indicator of sellers adjusting to the reality of the new market where overly aggressive pricing is not […]
Blog More Days A stat that we have expected to change is finally changing. “Days on Market” measures how long it takes for new listings to sell. Over the last two years this stat plummeted to levels we have never seen before. In the height of the market frenzy a year ago, properties were taking 7 days or […]
Blog Top Three   Here are the top three reasons why prices are unlikely to crash even though the market has cooled off: Inventory – Ultimately, prices are driven by supply and demand.  Although supply has increased, it still remains relatively low with less than two months’ supply in most areas. New Homes – New home construction still […]
Blog Weeks to Months For the first time in almost two years, there is more than a month’s worth of inventory on the market. This means that at the current pace of sales, it would take more than a month to sell all of the homes currently for sale. This is certainly welcome news for buyers who have been […]
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Blog Still Behind Single family new housing starts in 2022 will show an increase versus last year, will be the most since 2007, and will still be well behind the peak of 2006. This year, experts predict that a total of 1.1 million single family homes will be started. In 2021 there were 970 thousand new home starts. The […]
Blog Timber! A positive outcome of the cooling housing market is lower lumber prices. Lumber is now priced at $605 per thousand board feet.  This is a new low for 2022. Prices for lumber are now down 47% for the year and are well below the 2021 peak of $1,733 per thousand board feet. What’s causing this?  […]
Blog What We Notice Here is what we notice about the market right now: Listings are receiving fewer offers compared to 60 days ago – instead of 10 offers, a listing might have 2. There are now several instances of a listing only having one offer. Sellers who were overly-aggressive with their list price have to quickly reduce in […]
Blog Inventory Bottom In Front Range markets, the number of homes for sale has just hit bottom or is about to hit bottom. This is terrific news for home buyers who have been waiting for more homes to choose from. The market is shifting, there is no doubt about that. Prices are still increasing and we expect them […]
Blog Delinquent Indicator A leading indicator of the health of any real estate market is Mortgage Delinquencies. Specifically, the percentage of mortgages which are at least 30 days delinquent can foretell the amount of distressed properties that may hit the market in the future. The most recent research shows that only 4.11% of all loans are delinquent. This […]
Blog Interest-ing The recent increase in mortgage rates has started some home buyers to look at programs that have fixed rates for 7 years or 10 years instead of 30 years. If a buyer believes it is likely they will move or even refinance within this timeframe, these types of programs can be a good option. The […]
Blog Rate Perspective Given the recent increase in mortgage interest rates, we think a little perspective is in order. The average 30-year rate for the last 40+ years is 7.5% Rates are now back within the range where they were between April 2018 and February 2019 Between January 2000 and December 2009, the high was 8.15% and the […]
Blog Buy Before 5 30-year mortgage rates just exceeded 4% for the first time in three years according to Freddie Mac. We have new advice for anyone considering a home purchase in the next couple of years. Buy before 5.  This means buy before rates go to 5%. Even though rates have been ticking up over the last several […]
Blog Money at a Discount This week, for the first time in 32 months, mortgage rates hit 4%. While this increase may feel painful for buyers currently looking at property, it is important to put today’s rates in perspective. We believe we will look back a few years from now and see that a 4% rate was like buying money […]
Blog Steady Stream Despite the extraordinarily low amount of standing inventory, it is important to understand there is still a steady stream of new inventory hitting the market. Inventory is low. That is a reality. New inventory is coming on the market at essentially the same pace as compared to the last few years. That is also a […]
Blog Standing Low The standing inventory of residential properties currently for sale is staggeringly low. The number of active properties for sale is almost 90% below the average for this time of year. In Metro Denver, there are 1,144 residential properties for sale today. In Larimer County, there are 136 and in Weld County there are 174. Current […]
Blog Lumber Back Up The price of lumber has jumped back up again and is adding to the cost of new home construction. Over the past four months, lumber prices have nearly tripled, causing the price of an average new single-family home to increase by more than $18,600. According to Random Lengths, as of the end of December, the […]
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